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Showing posts from April, 2021

Herd Immunity

I've read a number of articles and seen a number of charts which project when a vast majority of eligible US residents will receive their COVID vaccine. I think they are vastly overestimating the number of people who are going to get the vaccine. If it reaches 60% of the total population (over 18) I would be very surprised. There are are probably 15-20% who will not get any vaccine under any circumstance. Than there are probably 20% that think this vaccine is too new and isn't proven to be safe. Maybe another 20% that will feel that they don't need the vaccine because everyone else is getting it. 20% that feel they aren't at risk because they are young or healthy. And another 20% that are just to lazy or busy to bother. Of course, many people fill into multiple categories, which is why you can't add up the percentages. Right now, in New York, there is a very short wait to get the vaccine. I don't think it is because they are extremely efficient, but that the dem