Nice Precedent, Mr. President

Yesterday, Iran's defense minister, Vice Adm. Ali Shamkhani, has warned that Iran may resort to pre-emptive strikes to prevent an attack on its nuclear facilities. He said. "Some military commanders in Iran are convinced that preventive operations which the Americans talk about are not their monopoly. Any nation, if it feels threatened, can resort to that."

There are so many things utterly disturbing about this.
1) Any country can now feel justified in attacking another as long as they have the same evidence that the US had, which is none.
2) Saddam Hussein said he didn’t have nuclear weapons and in fact didn’t, however, we invaded. Iran admits they are working on nuclear weapons, but we haven’t done anything. Weren’t they our allies a few months ago? Eurasia, Eastasia? Whatever.
3) Will Israel let Iran complete building a nuclear weapon? They have sent bombers in a few times to other countries over the last 20 years to destroy nuclear facilities inside enemy boarders. Iran said they would retaliate (perhaps pre-emptively) against any Israeli or American attack. This sounds bad, really, really bad.

My prediction: Iran never completes the production of a nuclear weapon at any plant that Israel knows about. The US will try to bribe or threaten them to stop. If they are close to completion, Israel will destroy it and see what Iran does. I think Iran will not retaliate because if they do Israel will go out all against them (and Israel has a superior military). If that did happen, I expect the US to join Israel and promote regime change in Iran. If Bush is President, the US would join the Israeli hawks, if Kerry is President that he would sit and watch.


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